Risky Business

Bears risk losing their best offensive threat, Matt Forte, because it is bad business to sign running backs to long-term deals.

Brad Biggs of the Chicago Tribune suggests that Forte wants a contract similar to DeAngelo Williams' five-year, $43 million deal ($21 million guaranteed).

Forte is a top 10 running back; he runs, catches and blocks well, and rarely fumbles. During his career, the Tulane back has averaged 1,555 all-purpose yards and almost 8 touchdowns a season. But four seasons with over 200 rushing attempts makes Forte a risky investment.

The market for running backs is just as bad as the economy, it will be tough for the Pro Bowler to get a five year contract. Chicago is a tight spender and could franchise tag Forte, which would probably cause him to hold out. On the other hand, the Bears could give him a front loaded contract that would pay Forte less at the end of the agreement when he is less productive.

"NFL contracts aren't completely guaranteed, so there isn't a huge risk like in other sports," said Ricky O'Donnell, editor of SB Nation Chicago.

The offense needs Forte and it would be irresponsible to lose him with the door closing on this team's championship chances. For the best results, the Bears need to sign Forte early and handle him with care the rest of his career. If they lighten Forte's load, he can stay productive throughout his contract.

All stats were provided by pro-football-reference.com.